Investing

This page contains our best articles on the subject of value investing and investment behaviour.

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Poke the Box: There Are No Silver Bullets in Investing

Let’s Start with Safal Niveshak
Just in case you missed any of this on Safal Niveshak over the last few days…

I have opened admission to the 4th batch of my Mastermind Value Investing Course. Click here to know more and join now.
Read my interview with Niveshak, the monthly magazine released by the Finance Club of Indian Institute of Management, Shillong.
Aswath Damodaran shares two bitter truths of stock valuation, and how you can avoid them.
Read when I (almost) dumped Ben Graham’s The Intelligent Investor, and why you mustn’t.
Hilarious but honest take on how a lot of companies that come out with their IPOs really operate and sell their shares to public.

Mastermind Value Investing Course: 4th Batch Admission Now Open!

Admission to the fourth batch of The Safal Niveshak Mastermind – my eight-month online course in Value Investing – is now open, and will remain so for the next 10 days.

Click Here to Join Mastermind Now
My idea through Mastermind is simple – to help you with a simple, common-sense approach to successful investing, so that you can avoid the uncertainty and outlandish time you would otherwise spend doing it all alone.

I’ve lined up a lot of things that you will receive when you become a part of The Safal Niveshak Mastermind. Here’re the key ones…

50+ lessons and few hours of video classes that will help you learn the nuances of Value Investing and how you can apply it to create long-term wealth through stock investing.
Lessons on identifying moats and analyzing specific sectors to help you build your circle of competence.
Lessons on building a latticework of mental models – the Charlie Munger way – to make better investment decisions.
Lessons on calculating Intrinsic Values of stocks.
Lessons on creating a portfolio of high-quality stocks.
Exclusive Forum to participate in learning exercises and discuss practical examples so that you can gain experience in doing your own independent analysis.

Over the past few years, I’ve sifted through a mountain of amazing books, documents, lectures, websites, and the last twelve years of my personal experience as an investor – to ensure that I bring the best ideas and lessons for you in investing and building wealth.

The goal of The Safal Niveshak Mastermind Course is simple – To help you get richer every single day.

This is your opportunity to become a simpler, sensible, long-term investor, and avoid the uncertainty and outlandish time and pain that you would otherwise spend doing it all alone.

Here are the key features of the Course –

100% online, self-study course
Convenient 24X7 online availability of all lessons
Downloadable basic excel models and templates
Members-only Forum for discussions and performing exercises after each lesson
Quizzes to test your understanding of key concepts
Premium access to the exclusive Mastermind website

Now, if you are willing and ready…

Let Me Offer You a Deal
The Safal Niveshak Mastermind, with all its invaluable contents and benefits as I have mentioned above, is priced at Rs 12,500/- (incl. taxes).

However, if you are among the first 100 subscribers, you can claim an early-bird discount of Rs 1,000.

Click Here to Join Mastermind Now

By the way, here is what a couple of Mastermind students have to say about their experience with the Course…

I am very humbled by Vishal’s approach in the Mastermind Value Investing Course. The course is created to strengthen us in our investment skills and techniques, allowing individuals to know which stocks are fundamentally sound.

One thing that really differentiate the Mastermind course from the other investing courses is the emphasis and build up on the mindset of an investor which is really very important. I highly recommend anyone who wants to build his wealth in a wise way to be part of Vishal’s Mastermind community.

~ Sean Seah

This is one of the best courses I have ever done. As a true value investor, this is one of the best investments I have made. I thoroughly enjoyed the course and would be happy to recommend the course to anyone who is interested in value investing.

Your course is the true example of ‘The more you learn, the more you’ll earn.’

~ Antony Sakkariyas

If you have any further question(s) about the Course, please write to me at vishal@safalniveshak.com, or call me at +91-8097073918.

How to Handle Your Money

Benjamin Graham was one of the most successful investors who ever lived and remains the most influential investment thinker of all time.

He was the one who taught Warren Buffett the art of investing, and was also his first boss.

Graham worked on Wall Street for more than four decades, ran a market-beating mutual fund, taught finance at Columbia Business School and wrote two classic books on investing.

Security Analysis (1934) is still the bible for professional money managers. The Intelligent Investor (1949) is, in Buffett’s words, “by far the best book about investing ever written.”

In June 1955, Graham gave an interview on the basics of handling money. Almost 60 years have passed since then, but a large number of investing ideas that Graham talked about then, remain valid to this day.

The Story of a Fraud IPO

A tribe member shared this video with me some time back. This is a hilarious take on how a lot of companies that come out with their IPOs really operate and sell their shares to public.

You must understand Hindi to understand this video.

If you can’t watch the video above, click here.

The underlying lesson is simple – Avoid (most) IPOs.

Over my 12 years of experience in the stock market, I have rarely come across an IPO that was launched keeping in mind the interest of minority investors. In fact, a majority of them were launched in the form of legalized looting by company promoters and their investment bankers.

Warren Buffett says this on IPOs…

It’s almost a mathematical impossibility to imagine that, out of the thousands of things for sale on a given day, the most attractively priced is the one being sold by a knowledgeable seller (company insiders) to a less-knowledgeable buyer (investors).

If the stock market continues its climb and the IPO line lengthens, I’m afraid you’ll have plenty of opportunities to see that Buffett’s right.

My Interview with Niveshak

I recently did an interview with Niveshak (not related to Safal Niveshak), the monthly magazine released by the Finance Club of Indian Institute of Management, Shillong.

Here I present that interview verbatim for the benefit of tribe members.

1. We are aware that you are an avid blogger and some of us are regular readers of Safal Niveshak blog. If we ask you to tell our readers about the 3-5 most vital investing lessons what would they be?
Thanks for reading Safal Niveshak! It’s good that you have a word limit to this interview, because the lessons I have learned as an investor over the years would have run into several pages.

But if I were to list down just 3 of them, they would be –

Have extreme patience
on process, and outcome will take care of itself
that you will make (a lot of) mistakes

Talking about patience, it’s important for investors to understand that ‘t’ or time is the most important variable in the compounding formula, even more important than ‘i’ or rate of return. So, the more patience you have to sit on your investments (assuming they are good investments), the greater is the amount of wealth you can create. In fact, patience – the art of sitting quiet – is the most important skill an investor can have, even more important than knowing what stocks to pick.

Poke the Box: You Are Not God, So Beware of Hubris

Let’s Start with Safal Niveshak
Just in case you missed any of this on Safal Niveshak over the last few days and weeks…

I had an interesting email exchange with Prof. Sanjay Bakshi on the subject of valuations.
Warren Buffett teaches us not only how to invest well, but also to live well. In a recent post, I shared Buffett’s advice on how to succeed in life.
Holding cash in portfolio is one of the most painful decisions an investor makes, because we always want to remain in the thick of action – playing around with our cash. Read here how you should handle this painful situation of holding cash.
Buffett (again) on what an investor must look at while researching a business.

18 Lessons for Investors and Managers from Warren Buffett’s 2014 Letter to Shareholders

One of my favourite Warren Buffett letters is from 2014. The reason I find this letter so special isn’t just because it marked the completion of 50 years of Buffett being at helm at Berkshire, but also because it contained a bonus – Charlie Munger’s words of wisdom and vision for Berkshire over the next 50 years.

What follows below are 18 big lessons Buffett and Munger have outlined in the 2014 letter, which are relevant for both investors and corporate managers. Though I suggest you read the original letter in its entirety by downloading it from here.

My Email Exchange with Prof. Sanjay Bakshi on Valuations

In the March 2015 issue of my premium newsletter Value Investing Almanack, I wrote on the topic of Valuations as the cover story.

My idea was to bring forth varied thoughts on valuing stocks and especially from the angle of drawing the line between paying up and overpaying for high-quality businesses.

I showed the draft of my note to Prof. Sanjay Bakshi, and he was kind enough as always to share his thoughts on how investors must look at valuations, especially when they are looking at expensive-looking, high P/E stocks in their portfolios.

What follows below is our email exchange on the subject. I am sharing it here so that a wider audience benefits from Prof. Bakshi’s thoughts on the important subject of valuations.

In the meanwhile, if you wish to read the complete March 2015 issue of Value Investing Almanack, and my detailed take on valuations and a lot of other ideas, please click here to subscribe.

Life 2.0: Deliberate Practice

Great habits are built through constant practice. The idea is to take a simple idea, and then take it seriously.

In the previous issue of Life 2.0, we talked about habits as a way of simplifying and taking control of your life. Let’s now take it one step further and explore how we can build skills at an expert level.

Everybody aspires to be really good at something. It could be a sport, an art, playing a musical instrument or any other activity like reading, painting or drawing. Sometimes when we see somebody who displays an extraordinary talent in any of these fields, it not only leaves us awestruck but inspires us.

A common myth about talent is that it’s a genetic gift and talented people are born with it. However, nothing can be further from truth. Some people do have a natural inclination towards few activities but it’s not what makes them talented.

So how do you become good at something? How do you improve your performance in a chosen activity? Well the cliché “practice, practice and practice” isn’t the entirely correct answer.

Talent is an outcome of “deliberate practice”. If you haven’t heard of this term before let me give you the definition first.

Deliberate practice is a highly structured activity engaged in with the specific goal of improving performance.

The idea was made popular by author Malcolm Gladwell in his book, Outliers. According to Gladwell, it takes 10,000 hours of practice to become a world class expert at any skill.
[Read more…] about Life 2.0: Deliberate Practice

Ethical Analyst: Conflict of Interest

Reputation is difficult to build but easy to lose. How we hope people in the investment industry respect this for a fact. Sadly, most don’t!

“We’ve given you so much information on our business. Now what can you do for us?” I was stumped to hear this from the CFO of a “reputed” mid-size Indian IT services company when I went to meet him sometime in 2009. I had received several such requests from lower rank managers of other companies in the past, but to expect this from a CFO was like too much!

This harmless-sounding question – “What can you do for us” – means a lot when you are stock market analyst who is preparing to write a report on a company. When a top manager asks an analyst as to what he can do for the former’s company, he is indirectly nudging the latter to write a positive report (a ‘Buy’ recommendation) on the stock. Yeah, that’s true!
[Read more…] about Ethical Analyst: Conflict of Interest